Stocks are oversold short-term, but NOT on an intermediate-term basis.
- The S&P is testing its trend-line from October of last year, but it’s also oversold on a short-term basis. Thus, it could see a very-short-term bounce to work-off this oversold condition.
- However, it’s not even remotely oversold on an intermediate-term basis…and the divergence between the bond & stock market is still a VERY large one. Thus, any mild decline in bond yields is not going to help the stock market for very long.
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